venerdì 1 agosto 2025

Vale Martim Afonso Sul – Executive Analysis of the Project and Determination of the Asking Price

Luxury residential/tourism project on an 8.2-hectare plot, located in the premium Comporta – Sobreiras Altas – Melides corridor, one of the most exclusive and sought-after destinations on the Alentejo coast.

Asset Composition

  • Land Plot: 81.883 m²

  • Existing Construction: 124 m² with the possibility of expansion up to 500 m² (+376 m²)

  • Tourism development rights: 1.662 m² (of which 1,372 m² are saleable)

  • Licensing status: Architectural design approved for the construction of six villas and a clubhouse/restaurant.


Project Plan 
  • Total units: 7 (6 villas + clubhouse)

  • Saleable tourism area (condominium ownership): 1.372 m²

  • Residential area: 500 m² (owner’s use / independent unit also available for sale)

  • Final product: Luxury villas with contemporary design, seamlessly integrated into the natural landscape.


Sales Scenarios (GSV – Gross Sales Value)

Calculation based on:

  • 1,372 m² tourism area × price/m² (8.500 / 9.000 / 9.500)

  • 500 m² residential area × price/m² (8.500 / 9.000 / 9.500)


Scenario 1 – €8,500/m² (residential + tourism)

Tourism revenue: 1.372 × 8.500 = 11.662.000 €

Residential revenue: 500 × 8.500 = 4.250.000 €

  • Total revenue = 15.912.000 €

Scenario 2 – €9,000/m² (residential + tourism)

Tourism revenue: 1.372 × 9.000 = 12.348.000 €

Residential revenue: 500 × 9.000 = 4.500.000 €

  • Total revenue = 16.848.000 €

Scenario 3 – €9,500/m² (residential + tourism)

Tourism revenue: 1.372 × 9.500 = 13.034.000 €

Residential revenue: 500 × 9.500 = 4.750.000 €

  • Total revenue = 17.784.000 €


  • Combined revenues (tourism + residential)

  • Scenario 1: 15,91 M€

  • Scenario 2: 16,85 M€

  • Scenario 3: 17,78 M€


  • Costs and profitability analysis

    Acquisition of VMAS property with an approved TER license2.500.000 €
  • building costs + IVA:
    • Infrastructures: 553.500 €
    • Restaurant Club House:289,80 m² x 3.500 €=1.247.589€ 
    • Owner’s Home: 124,17 m² x 1.000 € =             152.729 €
    • Extra Res. Buildability: 376 m² x 1.750 € =      807.188 €
    • P2: 208,74 m² x 1.750 € = 452.025 €
    • P3: 244,43 m² x 1.750 € = 516.600 €
    • P4: 244,43 m² x 1.750 € = 516.600 €
    • P5: 244,43 m² x 1.750 € = 516.600 €
    • P6: 306,16 m² x 1.750 € = 645.750 €
    • P7: 124,17 m² x 1.750 € = 258.300 €
  • CapEx: 10.133.371 €

    • overall construction costs:         5.666.881 €
    • contingency 15%:                          850.032 €
    • fixtures and Furnishings:              628.946 €
    • engineering project fees 6%:        340.013 €
    • acquisition VMAS with license:  2.500.000 €
    • IMT 5% of the sale value:             125.000 €
    • Stamp Duty Tax 0,8%:                    20.000 €
    • notarial expenses 0,1%:                   2.500 € 

  • Estimated Cumulative Margin (non-deductible VAT included)

    • Scenario 1: ~1,88 M€ – ROI 18,61%
    • Scenario 2: ~2,81 M€ – ROI 27,74%
    • Scenario 3: ~3,73 M€ – ROI 36,86%



Target acquisition price for the asset with TER license: 2,25 – 2,75 M€  

Set acquisition price for the asset with TER license: 2,5 M€



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  • Acquisition of VMAS without TER license:  1.990.000 

  • CapEx: 3.586.012 €

The turnkey CapEx, at € 7,172 per square meter of built area, positions the property well below the area’s average market values, offering substantial upside potential compared to local benchmarks.




    Target acquisition price for the asset without TER license: 1,75/2,00 M€  


    Set acquisition price for the asset without TER license: 1,99 M€



    Key investment considerations

    • Strategically located between Comporta and Melides, within an ultra-premium market segment.

    • Project with approved architectural plans, significantly reducing timelines and risk exposure.

    • Projected ROI 36,86% with an approved TER license.

    • A well-established international market with high demand for premium properties.


    Conclusions:

    The Vale Martim Afonso Sul  Eco Resort project stands out as an investment opportunity offering an attractive balance between risk and return in the premium Comporta–Sobreiras Altas–Melides corridor, combining a luxury product with approved architectural licensing and significant potential for value appreciation.

    The main factors underpinning this attractiveness are:

    • Strategic location in one of the most exclusive and high-demand areas of the Alentejo coast.

    • Premium final product: 1+6 villas and a clubhouse/restaurant with contemporary design, landscape integration, and strong appeal to the international market for second homes and high-end tourism.

    • Licensing already obtained, significantly reducing risks and execution timelines.

    • Solid financial projection:

      • GSV (Gross Sales Value) between €12M and €14M, depending on the pricing scenario.

      • Estimated ROI between 19% and 37%, with operating margins within €1.88M and €3.73M.

    • Competitive target acquisition price, particularly in the pre-license phase (€1.75M–€2M), with additional value uplift once the license is obtained (€2.5M–€2.75M).

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